Beyond the Benchmark by EFG
Hosted by EFGAM's Chief Investment Officer Moz Afzal, this podcast moves beyond conventional market analysis to explore current economic topics and global trends. Each episode features conversations with guests from within EFG and outside experts, offering insights into investment thinking. Published every two weeks, it aims to provide a deeper perspective on issues shaping the financial world.
Episodes
EP 148: Is the AI boom cracking? Inside July’s sell-off and beyond
Enterprise artificial intelligence demand is booming, semiconductors remain volatile, and July’s sharp sell-off has left investors asking whether the AI trade is cracking or simply resetting. Hosted by Moz Afzal, Global CIO at EFG, in conversation with Henry Walters, EFG Equity Analyst, this episode explores what drove the July wobble – from crowded positioning and leverage to rising rate
EP 147: Where technology ends and human intuition begins – onboard with Team Malizia
What happens when the models, forecasts and systems have done all they can – and it’s down to human judgment? Ocean racing skipper Boris Herrmann explains how he leads Team Malizia through some of the toughest races on the planet. While much of the race outcome is already determined through the preparation beforehand, intuition, trust and teamwork still play a vital role. Listen to this f
EP 146: Secondaries first: rethinking private market liquidity
In EFG’s Outlook 2026 publication, private equity secondaries were highlighted as a key opportunity within private markets. In this episode, CIO Moz Afzal is joined by Jake Elmhirst, Partner and Head of Private Wealth Secondaries Solutions at Coller Capital, to discuss why secondaries have become a core building block in client portfolios. They explore the current liquidity squeeze in pri
EP 145: EFG’s Mid-Year Outlook: what to know now and how to act
In this special Mid-Year edition Moz Afzal is joined by Deputy CIO Daniel Murray to revisit EFG’s 2026 Outlook, assessing what has played out so far – and what investors should be watching next. Together, they discuss why the US continues to lead global growth, “shark‑infested” bond markets, as well as the AI investment boom. They also share what this all means for portfolios today, highl
EP 144: Strongmen, sanctions and the Strait of Hormuz: Navigating today’s new geopolitical order
In this Future Leaders edition of the Beyond the Benchmark podcast (recorded as of early June 2026), Moz Afzal speaks with Nicholas Hopton, former UK ambassador to Iran, Qatar, Libya and Yemen and Chair of the Advisory Board at the Centre of Geopolitics, University of Cambridge. Drawing on 35 years of frontline diplomatic experience, Hopton explains how the Iran–US war, nuclear negotiatio
EP 143: The SpaceX IPO and the New Space Economy
Alexandra Vidyuk, CEO and Founding Partner of Beyond Earth Ventures, sits down with Moz to explore how the SpaceX IPO marks a turning point in the commercialisation of space. Plummeting launch costs open the door to transformational new industries such as in-space pharmaceutical labs, orbital data centres and semiconductor crystal growth, and a new breed of founders are competing to resha
EP 142: Populism, higher rates and AI: How the market cycle is shaping up
What does the “market balance sheet” for US equities look like? Jason Trennert, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Strategas Research Partners, weighs up the key assets and liabilities for investors today, from powerful earnings growth and AI-driven productivity gains to the headwinds from inflation, higher rates and geopolitics.Jason also explains why themes such as populism, deglob
EP 141: The AI-Macro Nexus
Kicking off EFG’s Future Leaders series, Moz Afzal sits down with Jordi Visser, Head of AI Macro Nexus at Visser Labs. Together, they explore how AI is reshaping global markets, the challenges and opportunities for investors, and the rapid pace of technological change. Jordi also shares his unique perspective on the future of innovation and the evolving role of AI in economic disruption.O
EP 140: Moz down under part 2: Opportunities in New Zealand
Continuing his trip down under, Moz Afzal crossed over to Auckland to sit down with Andrew Kelleher, Director at Shaw and Partners New Zealand. Together they discuss the structure and outlook for the New Zealand economy, the behaviour of the Kiwi dollar, and the country’s long-term prospects. Andrew also explores the evolution of New Zealand’s investment services industry, as well as his
EP 139: Moz down under part 1: Australia deep dive
On his recent trip to Australia, Moz Afzal sat down with Martin Crabb, CIO of Shaw and Partners, for a deep dive into the Australian economy and markets. They discuss how the latest Middle East tensions and higher energy prices are feeding into Australian inflation and interest rates, what that means for the Reserve Bank’s hiking path, and the implications for the Aussie dollar and bond m
EP 138: Inflation fears, rate expectations and chair changes: Takeaways from the Fed meeting
Conflict in the Middle East, volatile energy prices and the state of its independence made for an interesting backdrop for the Federal Reserve meeting, even if it did not deliver any policy changes. Deputy CIO Daniel Murray is joined by EFG’s Chief Economist, Stefan Gerlach, in this short update episode to unpack the Fed’s latest meeting and inflation expectations. In addition, Stefan out
EP 137: The memory supercycle and what it means for Asia Pacific equities
From South Korea’s memory leaders to Taiwan’s artificial intelligence supply chain, we explore what’s really behind recent market moves in the Asia Pacific region. EFG portfolio manager Chris Chan discusses how the AI hardware cycle, shifting geopolitical risks as well as China’s two‑speed economy are shaping equity markets.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Chris Chanhtt
EP 136: Brazil on the rise: what to know in 2026
The Brazilian equity market had a strong 2025 and momentum has so far carried over, but can it continue? Tiago Berriel, chief strategist at BTG Pactual joins us on the podcast to unpack what has driven Latin America’s largest economy and what lies ahead. Real rates, trade relations, election considerations and why Tiago is more positive on the economy than the Brazilian soccer team come i
EP 135: The AI bubble and new frontiers in tech
Dominic Jacobson, Senior Equity Analyst in EFG Asset Management’s US Growth Equity team unpacks whether tech bubble fears are misplaced, and why compute power and energy availability may in fact be keeping excess in check. Also featured are geopolitical competition, open-source versus closed-source models and what could be the next big untapped opportunity in tech.Our host, Moz Afzal:http
EP 134: Staying the Course: Strategy, Discipline and Compounding Growth with Giorgio Pradelli
In the second episode of this three-part series, EFG International CEO Giorgio Pradelli reflects on successful engagement with investors, long-term strategy, and the discipline required to deliver consistent, compounding growth in global wealth management. From the importance of setting the course to aligning 40 locations worldwide, Giorgio shares how clear vision, execution and people un
EP 133: 2025 in review
In this year-end episode of Beyond the Benchmark, Moz and Daniel unpack the defining forces of 2025 — from the return of Donald Trump and global tariff shocks to the Middle East conflict, shifting geopolitics, and surprisingly resilient markets. They conclude by outlining key scenarios for 2026, including why a soft landing remains the base case despite looming midterm volatility and poli
EP 132: Shock and awe: US politics and policy in 2026 with Dan Clifton
As the US enters midterm year, Dan Clifton returns to help navigate the political and economic crosscurrents impacting the world’s largest economy. Fiscal stimulus, election year market volatility, recession risks and the Fed’s strategy are all under the microscope in this episode of Beyond the Benchmark with Moz Afzal. Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guests:Dan Clifton, Hea
EP 131: The art of wealth planning with Evgenia Goti
Evgenia Goti, Global Head of Wealth Planning at EFG joins Moz to shed light on both the technical and human considerations of structuring family wealth across generations. As the great wealth transfer gathers pace, she explains how families can preserve cohesion and avoid common pitfalls while building legacies.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Evgenia Gotihttps://bit.ly
EP 130: Taking the pulse of the US economy - insights from Washington
What’s really on the mind of strategists and economists right now? In this special, bitesize update episode of Beyond the Benchmark, Daniel Murray, EFG’s Deputy CIO, delivers the key takeaways from his recent trip to the US, covering tariffs, valuations and the future of the Federal Reserve.Our host, Sam Jochim:https://bit.ly/4o0EYzrOur guest:Daniel Murray:https://bit.ly/3NBVBC2EFGAM:http
EP 129: Trade Wars, AI Tailwinds, and the Global Economic Mosaic with Torsten Slok
Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global unpacks the shifting macro landscape, from trade tensions and tariff impacts to the rapid industrial and AI revolutions reshaping markets. In focus are the contrasting inflation dynamics between the US and Europe, risks tied to AI valuations, and what investors should watch in the months ahead.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur gue
EP 128: Credit, debt cycles and bubbles with Michael Leithead
As the US economy eagerly awaits labour market data and whisperings of an AI bubble grow, Moz talks to Michael Leithead, Head of Fixed Income at EFGAM about the path ahead. In the spotlight are Fed rate cuts, the economic impacts of Artificial Intelligence and what some of the idiosyncratic risks are to be aware of in the current cycle.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:M
EP 127: What the Market Cycle Clock is telling us with Jeff deGraaf
Renowned market technician Jeff deGraaf, Chairman and CEO of RenMac, helps explain what time it is on RenMac's Market Cycle Clock, and what it signals for equities. Alongside discussing sector opportunities, he also lays out the case for why he believes we’re in a broad-based global bull market, despite near term consolidation risks. Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Jef
EP 126: Fed rate cut reaction with GianLuigi Mandruzzato and Stefan Gerlach
In this special short episode of Beyond the Benchmark, GianLuigi and Stefan give their immediate reaction to the Fed's 17 September decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. While a true picture of market reaction is yet to be seen, Stefan highlights some of the learnings to be gleaned from the decision about how the FOMC is currently operating and what their longer term thinking
EP 125: The US consumer in a tariff-laden economy with Chelsea Wiater
The US consumer remains a crucial pillar of the economy, but what happens when they face the combined pressures of high interest rates and trade tariffs? In this episode, Chelsea Wiater, Senior Portfolio Manager for New Capital’s US growth equity strategies, unpacks the evolving habits of American consumers. She explores the striking divergence between weak consumer sentiment and resilien
EP 124: Entering uncharted demographic territory with James Pomeroy
Collapsing birth rates are taking the world into uncharted territory, according to research done by James Pomeroy and HSBC. Shrinking populations from China to Europe will put unprecedented pressure on fiscal policy, but bright spots for investors still remain in the developing world.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:James Pomeroy, Global Economist at HSBChttps://bit.ly/
EP 123: Leadership, vision, and judgement with EFG CEO Giorgio Pradelli
In the first of a special three-part series, Giorgio Pradelli, CEO of EFG International, joins Moz to discuss his personal and professional journey. From his early days in Torino, Italy, to leading one of Europe’s top private banks, Giorgio shares valuable insights on leadership, decision-making, building a strong company culture, and the importance of staying calm under pressure in today
EP 122: Signs of promise for 2026, but potentially a bumpy ride
In the wake of the 'big, beautiful bill', Don Rissmiller shares his view that 2026 and beyond look positive for the US economy. However, there may be some turbulence in the final months of 2025 as tariff disruption and geopolitical pressures wash through the system. Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Don Rissmiller, Partner and Chief Economist at Strategashttp://bit.ly/4o
EP 121: Trump, Powell, and the future of central bank independence
Could Trump appoint a new Fed chairman before Powell’s term is due to end and what are the possible market implications? Stefan Gerlach joins Moz Afzal to explore the current central bank dynamics as well as the broader economic challenges facing the US, eurozone and UK and how feasible their growth ambitions are.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Stefan Gerlach, Chief Ec
EP 120: Performing under pressure with professional golfer Shannon Tan
Shannon Tan, EFG Sports Ambassador and professional golfer on the Ladies European Tour joins Moz on the podcast this week. The 21 year old Singaporean golfer shares the story of her journey to professional golf, along with her strategies for maintaining focus and discipline while on tour, and how she copes with the pressure of playing against some of the best in the world.Our host, Moz Af
EP 119: The new era of rolling mini cycles in the market
Chris Senyek, Chief Investment Strategist at Wolfe Research goes into why he thinks the cyclical nature of the market has changed in the years since the 2008 financial crisis. As central banks grapple with sticky inflation and high debt to GDP ratios, we discuss the delicate balancing act between yields and interest rates and how they differ globally.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31X
EP 118: Tariff turmoil, Trump 2.0 and a big beautiful bill with Dan Clifton
Friend of the podcast Dan Clifton returns to Beyond the Benchmark to help make sense of the ongoing Trump tariff saga and his ‘big beautiful bill’. Trump’s economic trials and tribulations are also set against the backdrop of a radical shift in the way the US conducts foreign affairs, as signalled on his recent trip to Qatar in a speech which has been surprisingly overlooked by most. Our
EP 117: Reimagining business through AI
José Pedro Almeida, Executive in Residence at INSEAD, explains how he helps governments, investors and businesses lead AI and digital transformations, with a particular focus on healthcare. From how to get CEO buy-in to the dos (and don’ts) of measuring success, Jose explains the human role in a GenAI enabled business.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guests:José Pedro Almeida
EP 116: How Meta Manages Misinformation in a Rapidly Changing World
What role do global platforms such as Meta have in managing misinformation? What is the difference between misinformation and fake news, and what impact does it have on society? What lessons has Meta learnt from the challenging geopolitical environment of the past few years? Moz talks to Tom Bonsundy O’Bryan, Head of misinformation policy for EMEA at Meta to gain a fascinating insight int
EP 115: The state of sustainable investing: crisis or opportunity?
The Trump administration has an infamously dim view on sustainability, but what does this really mean for the landscape of sustainable investing? Melanie Beyeler, Senior Portfolio Manager at New Capital, talks to Moz about why it’s not necessarily all bad news for the segment, and what sustainable investing opportunities may arise out of the new global dynamic. Our host, Moz Afzal:https:/
EP 114: Inside the Mind of a CIO: Moz Afzal’s Investment Journey
In this special episode of Beyond the Benchmark, the tables are turned as EFG’s Global Chief Investment Officer, Moz Afzal, steps into the hot seat. Fresh off being named CIO of the Year at the 2025 WealthBriefing European Awards, Moz shares insights into his journey from junior analyst to managing $25 billion in assets. He discusses the key challenges he’s faced, the importance of leader
EP 113: The 6 Laws of Technology with Nathan Furr Part 3
Is it really the case that the first to invent a technology is the one who benefits from it in the long term? Is it a myth that we can accurately predict the outcomes of new innovation? In this final episode of the 3 part Laws of Technology series, Nathan Furr dispels two oft-held but statistically untrue myths about human innovation. This episode was recorded on 12th September 2024.Our h
EP 112: Understanding AI disruption
Chinese generative AI contender, DeepSeek, caused huge waves in markets across the globe at the end of January. Investors and analysts were caught flat footed after the Chinese company, operating on inferior hardware, revealed a generative AI comparable to leading Western models while claiming that development costs had been a fraction of their American counterparts. This week with the he
EP 111: Trump, Putin, Xi and World Politics with Gideon Rachman | 21st January 2025
Will Trump successfully cut a deal with Russia on the Ukraine conflict? Will we see the emergence of a new great power paradigm? Where does an aggressive 'America First' policy leave the rest of the world? The next decade is beset by geopolitical questions following great change in Washington. Against this backdrop, Gideon Rachman, Chief Foreign Affairs Commentator at the Financial Times,
EP 110: The Economic and Investment Implications of Trump 2.0 with Dan Clifton | 15th January 2025
Donald Trump's election victory brings with it a plethora of unknowns about the next four years. After a highly unusual election cycle, change is on the horizon, from a reordering of the existing power structures of the West to tariffs on China, from Elon Musk's DOGE to deregulation. In this special episode, Dan Clifton, Head of Policy Research at Strategas, delivers his thoughts on Trump
EP 109: A year in review | 12th December 2024
Economic resilience, shifting policies, and global uncertainties set the tone for 2024. In this episode, Moz and Daniel reflect on a year marked by strong US growth, challenges in Europe, and the lingering effects of Covid stimulus. They share their perspectives on the key factors shaping the outlook for 2025, from trade tariffs to potential stimulus in China, and discuss what these trend
EP 108: Understanding Market Trends with Jeff deGraaf
In this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, Moz is joined by Jeff deGraaf, a leading technical analyst from RenMac, for an insightful discussion on 2024’s market performance and opportunities in 2025, as well as touching on China’s resilience and the global influence of the US dollar.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Jeff deGraaf, CMT, CFA, Chairman and Head of Technical Re
EP 107: The 6 Laws of Technology with Nathan Furr Part 2
Breaking companies down into modular systems that drive value and understanding their self-reinforcing cycles are key in navigating the technological landscape. Nathan Furr takes us through two laws of technology in the next of this three-part series, providing examples of how today’s leaders are utilising these elements to their advantage. This episode was recorded on 12th September 2024
EP 106: 'We've never seen anything like this' Dan Clifton US Election Special | 25th October 2024
Polls on a knife edge, multiple assassination attempts, a convicted felon running for president, a candidate campaigning for just 100 days pre-election; these are just a few of the reasons this US election cycle is unlike anything we have ever seen. Thankfully, Dan Clifton, Head of Policy Research at Strategas, is here to bring some clarity to the turmoil, and what all this might mean for
EP 105: Q4 2024 Insight, a changing market narrative | 7th October 2024
As central banks around the world appear to be successfully getting a handle on inflation, we look at the changing market narrative going into the final quarter of 2024. Labour market numbers start to take precedence in shaping market sentiment, while the US gears up for an election that, despite intense volatility, is surprisingly normal in its impacts on markets so far. Meanwhile furthe
EP 104: The 6 Laws of Technology with Nathan Furr Part 1 | 12th September 2024
Does the conventional wisdom around technology and business really hold up to scrutiny? Nathan Furr guides us through the 6 Laws of Technology, each law turning a piece of conventional thinking on its head when it comes to how companies deploy technology for the best outcomes. This is part 1 of a 3 part series, each episode covering 2 of the laws in detail.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.
EP 103: Central Banks plot a course through a decreased inflation environment | 29th August 2024
As inflation across the globe falls back closer to Central Bank target levels, Central Bankers face a new question: how quickly and how deeply should interest rates be cut? EFG's Chief Economist Stefan Gerlach joins Moz to help understand how different Central Banks are plotting this course. Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest, Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist at EFG:https:
EP 102: Navigating equities with Gerry Fowler | 15th August 2024
Did investors overreact to the recent equity market sell off? This week Gerry Fowler, Head of European Equity Strategy at UBS, talks Daniel Murray through his current view on the equity landscape and recent volatility. Surprising opportunities in European equities, China's EV dominance and the US Consumer are all in focus in this episode. Our host, Daniel Murray, CEO of EFGAM Switzerland
EP 101: Wild times in the US election with Sarah Bianchi | 29th July 2024
An attempted assassination, a new Democratic candidate and a controversial choice of running mate are just some of the reasons this US election is shaping up to be one of the most tumultuous in recent memory. Sarah Bianchi, Senior Managing Director at Evercore ISI and former deputy US Trade Representative helps Moz understand the various moving parts in this dynamic election. Our host, M
EP 100: State of the Union – all eyes on the US economy | 15th July 2024
With the US economy so far experiencing a 'soft landing' scenario, Wolfe Research's Stephanie Roth discusses the current state of play for the world's largest economy and the emerging risk factors for the year ahead. With the Fed looking at continued rate cuts, and a presidential election only months away, it's all eyes on the US economy.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest
EP 99: Q3 2024 Insight, the interface of politics and economics | 11th July 2024
As we look ahead to Q3 of 2024, the interface between politics and economics comes into sharp relief. With around 49% of the global population going to the polls in 2024, we explore the potential fiscal and market impacts these elections have had or threaten to have over the coming months. From the UK's new Labour government, to the fiery Trump-Biden showdown in the US, to Modi's re-elect
EP 98: AI opportunities and regulation from the Gamma Foundation Summit | 29th May 2024
In this special episode on the regulation of AI, and the opportunities and investment themes that accompany the nascent technology, we listen in to highlights from key presentations at the recent Gamma Foundation Summit in Rome on the 29th May.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Luciano FloridiProfessor and Founding Director of the Digital Ethics Center, Yale Universityhtt
EP 97: Brilliance and resilience with author and CEO advisor Saj-nicole Joni | 24th May 2024
Saj-nicole Joni, renowned as the first female professor of mathematics at MIT and a pivotal executive in Microsoft's formative years, now dedicates her expertise to advising top CEOs as a 'CEO whisperer.' With a wealth of experience in leadership and innovation, she helps high-performing leaders navigate complex challenges, make strategic decisions, and elevate their organizations to new
EP 96: Author and Global Head of Trust, Julie Collins | 26th April 2024
Not many people can say they are a published author and Global Head of Trust at an international banking group, but Head of EFG Wealth Management Julie Collins can. Moz talks to the Jersey-based Julie on her career and writing.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Julie Collins, Global Head of Trust and Managing Director of EFG Wealth Solutions Jerseyhttps://bit.ly/3wEwbOSHe
EP 95: The evolving battlegrounds in the AI value chain | 10th April 2024
The boom in the Artificial Intelligence value chain over the past 18 months has made stocks such as NVIDIA household names and delivered significant returns for well placed investors. However, as AI usage and commercialisation evolves and matures, who will the next winners be in this rapidly changing space? Moz talks with Jonathan Rawicz and Henry Walters to identify the future battlegrou
EP 94: Q2 2024 Insight, a new reality? | 9th April 2024
Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q2 2024 Insight document. The macro A-team come together to talk through the thinking behind the publication. The worst predictions for the state of the global economy fail to materialise once again, while the markets wake up to the new reality of a higher interest rate environment that's here to stay, with the Fed holding rates in the Marc
EP 93: The biggest change in global populations we've ever seen with James Pomeroy | 25th March 2024
While Japan and China have received a lot of attention in recent years for their unfavourable demographics, James Pomeroy, Global Economist at HSBC, points to research showing that much of the world is facing similar conditions. This is a fact that goes largely unreported yet could have enormous impacts on the global economy. Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:James Pomer
EP 92: Is there a ‘no-landing’ scenario for the global economy? With Chris Senyek | 14th March 2024
Is there a 'no-landing' scenario for the global economy? Moz talks to Chris Senyek, Chief Investment Strategist at Wolfe Research about the unexpected strength of the US and global economy, with inflation numbers going in the right direction and the market bull run extending its 18 month run, repeatedly proving sceptics wrong.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Chris Senye
EP 91: The far reaching impacts of GLP-1 drugs | 26th February 2024
In the world of Healthcare, few recent innovations have caused as much of a stir as the emergent GLP-1 agonist drugs, which have proven to have a material impact on weight loss. In this episode Moz is joined by New Capital's Mike Clulow and Chelsea Wiater to talk through what GLP-1s are, how they work and the potentially far reaching impacts they may have on the consumer staples and healt
EP 90: Understanding Catastrophe Bonds with Rhodri Morris | 4th March 2024
This week we dive into the little-known world of Catastrophe Bonds, a sub category of Insurance Linked Strategies, exploring how they work and their potential upsides and downsides. To help understand this unique instrument, Moz is joined by Rhodri Morris, Head of ILS Analytics at Twelve Capital. Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Rhodri Morris, Head of ILS Analytics at T
EP 89: When will the Fed start cutting with Neil Dutta | 15th February 2024
As the US economy eyes a soft landing with inflationary pressures easing, Moz talks to Neil Dutta, Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research about when the Fed will be cutting rates.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Neil Dutta, Partner, Head of Economic Research, Renaissance Macro Research https://www.renmac.com/neil-dutta/EFGAM:https://www.newcapital.com/I
EP 88: Asia in focus; is sentiment on China excessively negative? | 6th February 2024
At the end of January 2024, Moz Afzal and Stefan Gerlach attended a series of meetings with public and private sector stakeholders in Singapore and Hong Kong. Top of mind was the strength of the Chinese economy, its housing market and what the future may hold for the largest market in Asia. In this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, Moz and Stefan recap these conversations and what the key
EP 87: The US election will be decided by J Powell and the Supreme Court | 9th January 2024
In this special episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we revisit a talk from our Investment Summit on 9th January 2024. Dan Clifton, Partner and Head of Policy Research for Strategas Securities. In an unprecedented year of elections across the world, the US presidential race looms largest. What factors really impact the outcome? Does anyone actually want either Biden or Trump? Could there be a
EP 86: Q1 2024 Insight, a soft landing? | 15th January 2024
Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q1 2024 Insight document. The macro A-team come together to talk through the thinking behind the publication, as the general consensus outlook for the world economy indicates a soft landing and declining inflation.In the longer term, important cross currents such as the drive to net zero, changing global demographics and the shifting roles
EP 85: A year in review | 20th December 2023
AI, war in Ukraine, banking failures and the battle to control inflation have dominated headlines and, to some degree, financial markets in 2023. To cap the year off, this was followed by an historic market rally in the final quarter. Moz and Daniel take a look back at the year that was 2023 and offer some thoughts about what this means for the start of 2024.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bi
EP 84: Conversations from Washington with Stefan Gerlach and Daniel Murray | 14th December 2023
Recorded 14th December 2023. Stefan Gerlach and Daniel Murray recap key findings from their recent trip to Washington DC, shedding light on US policymakers' thinking on the upcoming US election, the risk of recession, CPI data and more.Our host, Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO and Head of Research:https://bit.ly/3NBVBC2Our guest:Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist at EFGhttps://bit.ly/3veyR4UEFGAM:
EP 83: Jeff deGraaf on seasonality and market sentiment | 1st November 2023
Recorded 1st November 2023. Jeff deGraaf, Chairman and Head of Technical Research at Renaissance Macro Research shares his thoughts on current market sentiment and seasonality plays going into the winter. Jeff shares what RenMac's Market Cycle Clock indicators are saying, balanced against a more bearish yield impact model and a surprisingly strong US economy.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bi
EP 82: AI and the new digital landscape with Chris Tucci | 14th September 2023
Our host, Moz, joins Chris Tucci, an Imperial College Business School professor of digital strategy and innovation, on an insightful journey into the impact of AI on digital innovation. Delve into AI's potential effects on employment and its promising applications in marketing, video game coding, and media. Discover Chris's AI Applications and Innovation MSC program, designed to educate s
EP 81: Q4 2023 Insight, The Shifting Sands of the Global Economy | 5th October 2023
Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q4 2023 Insights document. We've been pleasantly surprised by the resilience of certain economies this year, especially the US, Brazil, and India. Our team, including Paul Temperton, Stefan Gerlach, Daniel Murray, GianLuigi Mandruzzato, Joaquin Thul, and Sam Jochim, discuss these economic patterns and their implications. As we navigate the
EP 80: Exploring the Human Brain and AI with Neuroscientist Pascal Kaufman | 14th September 2023
On this episode of Beyond The Benchmark, we dive into the mind of a remarkable neuroscientist, Pascal Kaufmann. His academic prowess ranges from ancient Greek and Latin studies to his groundbreaking exploration of the connection between brains and robots. Pascal's ventures StarMind and Mindfire are pushing the boundaries of artificial intelligence and crowdsourcing in an effort to underst
EP 79: Picking the winners of the Climate Transition with Melanie Beyeler | 15th August 2023
This week on Beyond the Benchmark Moz is joined by Melanie Beyeler, Fund Manager of the New Capital Climate Transition Fund. Melanie explains both her passion for the strategy, and the proprietary analysis process that the team uses to cut through the noise and select the right stocks for the Fund. As the conversation progresses, she details examples of the types of companies that are pic
EP 78: Exploring the Dynamics of the US Economy with Don Rissmiller and Jason Trennert | 7th August 2023
On this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we welcomed Don Rissmiller and Jason Trennert from Strategas to dissect the complexities of the US economy and interest rates. They offer their insights into the current inflation problem, the challenges faced by central banks, and the balancing act between supply and demand. Listen in as we discuss the risks in the labor market, the effects of ban
EP 77: The opportunities in hedge funds with Jerome Berset | 27th July 2023
With Daniel Murray hosting the podcast this week, we welcome EFGAM's Head of Alternatives, Jerome Berset to the show. Jerome explains the precipitous fall from favour hedge funds faced in the aftermath of the Financial Crisis, followed by the return of interesting new opportunities in the space today. Our host, Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO & Global Head of Research at EFGAM:https://bit.l
EP 76: Insights on the Modern Economy and Investment Climate with Dennis DeBusschere | 11th July 2023
Join Moz as we uncover the reality of the 'white collar recession' and how it's affecting our economy, with expert insights from Dennis DeBusschere of 22V Research. We shed light on the trends in layoffs and unemployment claims, along with the role of the big seven tech stocks in influencing investor sentiment. We also navigate the challenges portfolio managers are facing in trying to mat
EP 75: Q3 2023 Insight, finding a new balance | 30th June 2023
With the theme of 'finding a new balance' in Q3 2023, Moz checks in with the macro team behind the quarterly Insight document. From central bankers' meetings to pandemic resilience, they delve into returning inflation to its ideal state, discuss the Eurozone's economic challenges, the Bank of England's inflation strategy, and the impact of Brexit on wage growth. They also compare China an
EP 74: The opportunities and possibilities in AI | 8th June 2023
Artificial Intelligence has not been far from investors' thoughts since late 2022, when OpenAI's ChatGPT became widely available in its open test environment. In this episode Moz talks through some of the opportunities in the value chain of this burgeoning sector with Jonathan Rawicz, Senior Portfolio Manager at New Capital. From cloud services, GPUs and applications to consumer content c
EP 73: Are we near the crest of monetary policy tightening? | 16th May 2023
EFG's Chief Economist Stefan Gerlach shares his views on how monetary policy tightening may be reaching its peak, the challenges that still remain in the global economy and what the lagged impacts of 12 months of interest rate raises might be, and when they would take effect.Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist at EFGbit.ly/3mz6t8VEFGAM:https
EP 72: Larry Jeddeloh, the US has a branding problem | 17th April 2023
Larry Jeddeloh is the Editor of The Institutional Strategist, and Founder of TIS Group. In this wide ranging conversation, Larry draws upon his experience of conversations with an enormous network of contacts, covering the long term potential weakness of the dollar, AI disruption, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the worrying and persistent surprises in equity and bond markets brou
EP 71: Q2 2023 Insight, a quartet of concerns | 6th April 2023
With a quartet of concerns dominating Q2 2023, Moz checks in with the macro team behind the quarterly Insight document. Financial stability, sticky inflation, growth and geopolitical risks are all under the microscope, with an interesting parallel to the 'long eighteenth century' from 1689 to 1815. Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guests:Daniel Murrayhttps://bit.ly/3tNPXSKPau
EP 70: The top Geoeconomic risks in 2023 with Jens Larsen | 5th April 2023
Jens Larsen, Director of Global Macro-Geoeconomics at Eurasia Group, talks us through some of the primary Geoeconomic risks that Eurasia Group are currently tracking. Against the backdrop of the Russia-Ukraine war, relations between the US and China have been thrown into sharp relief, while the global economy is still reeling from the impacts of the energy crisis. Jens provides a nuanced
EP 69: The current state of the Brazilian economy with Mansueto Almeida | 13th March 2023
Mansueto Almeida, Chief Economist at BTG Pactual, joins Moz to talk about the Brazilian economy and the current state of the financial markets. They reflect on this past year's impact of political policy from Brazil's new government, the positive rate of growth in GDP, and the outlook for future investment opportunities. Our host, Moz Afzal:https://bit.ly/31XbkTROur guest:Mansueto Almeida
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