The Eurointelligence Podcast
The Eurointelligence Podcast offers a weekly analysis of European politics and geopolitics, providing concise insights into current affairs. Produced by the Eurointelligence team, it covers key developments across the continent. The podcast is available in English and is distributed via Substack.
Episodes
Downstream and downhill
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the causes and consequences of the higher prices for oil and its derivatives, and whether this could trigger financial and political crises in the West. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Why the far-right succeeds
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the surge in support for the far-right in Germany, France and Italy, and what these parties have in common. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Three risk scenarios
In our latest podcast, our team discusses three looming risk scenarios for the global economy - Hormuz, global imbalances, and rising interest rates This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Oil wars
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the politics and economics of the latest closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Le Pen
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the political and economic consequences of Marine Le Pen This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
The Great European Car Crash
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the reasons why the European car industry is declining, to which extent it is a macroeconomic phenomenon, how European politicians react to it, and how China will react to their reactions. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Geopolitics and AI
In this podcast, our team discusses the geopolitical consequences of AI. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Why Defence Cooperation does not work in Europe
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the collapse of the Future Combat Air System, a massive setback to European hopes for strategic autonomy. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
An age of inflation
In our latest podcast our team discusses the cyclical and structural causes behind the rise in inflation, and why these causes are likely to persist. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
China Shock 2.0
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the implications of the China shock 2.0 for the European economy, and how to respond. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
The bigger question in British politics
In our latest podcast, our team discusses this week's failed coup against Keir Starmer amidst a total lack of alternative agendas. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Merz - the Downfall
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the fall and decline of Friedrich Merz, in his foreign and domestic policies. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Opec's Brexit moment
In our latest episode, our team discusses the broader implications of the UEA's exit from Opec, and from what it says about the decline of international institutions. For the long version of this episode published every Wednesday please subscribe to eurointelligence.com. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointell
Economic consequences of a long blockade
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the economic consequences of the Iran scenario we are now in - a long drawn-out diplomatic process with no obvious compromises. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
The beginning of the end for the far right?
In our latest podcast, our team discusses why governments of the far-right are failing when they fail. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
A geopolitical singulatity
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the implications of Trump's retreat, for the future of the Middle East, supply chain security, the transatlantic alliance, and Ukraine. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Home alone in Nato
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the long-term consequences of Europe's decision to deny US requests for the use of joint bases and overflight rights for its war against Iran. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Curse of Italian referenda
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the curse of Italian referenda, and whether Meloni can extricate herself from the political mess she created. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Chokepoints
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the consequences of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz on energy markets, supply chains and food security. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Strait through Hormuz
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz for Iran and the US in this war. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Getting dragged into a new war
In our latest podcast, our team discusses how European countries are being dragged into the Iran war. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Europe's new 30 years war
In our latest podcast, our team discusses what it would take for the Ukraine war would end, and why the preconditions are not in place - yet. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
After Lagarde
In our latest episode, our team discusses the next ECB president in the context of French politics and Europe's role in the global economy. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Europe's car industry crash
In our latest podcast, our team discusses Europe's unfolding car industry disaster - a cautionary tale of hubris turning to nemisis. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Le Pen is back in the picture
In our latest podcast, our team discusses a decision by the French prosecutor not to seek a provisional ban for Marine Le Pen. This does not preclude a ruling, but raises Le Pen's chances to be able to run in 2027. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
If Starmer stays
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the state of UK politics, and things may not look as bad for Starmer as the media coverage would suggest. For starters, productivity is starting to rise. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
How to become independent
In our latest podcast, our team discusses what it would take for the EU to become truly independent of the US. Don't hold your breath. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
How to understand Trump's foreign policy
In our latest podcast, our team discusses how the rest of the world, and Europe especially, should deal with US foreign policy, and the de-multilateralisation of the world. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Annus Horribilis
In our last podcast of the year, our team looks back at 2025. It was an annus horribilis for the EU. Will 2026 be better? This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Squeezed
This week's podcast is about why the EU keeps on folding when under pressure from the US and China. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
How not to sequester
Our latest podcast is about the difficulties the European asset sequestration scheme has run into, and on whether the Europeans will maintain their Russian gas ban after the war. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Deficits explode everywhere - even in Finland
Today's podcast is about Europe's exploding deficits. Growth is weak, fiscal positions are fragile, and we are spending a lot more money on defence and Ukraine, all funded through debt. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Why Europe Can't Reform
In our latest podcast, we discuss why all European governments are struggling with reform - whether they have systems of proportional representation of first-past-the-post. Something bigger is at play. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Confused about China
In our latest episode, our team discusses Europe's dependence on China, and the important role Germany plays in informing the EU/China trading relationship. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Death and Taxes - coming near you
In our latest podcast, our team discusses why Rachel Reeves' problems are much more common than you might think. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Europe's faltering strategy to support Ukraine
In our latest podcast, our team discusses Europe's faltering efforts to support Ukraine. Beyond virtue signalling, there was never a strategy to begin with. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
What to do about China's chokeholds
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the political and economic consequences of China's export controls of rare earths and rare earth magnets. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Only in France?
In our latest episode we are discussing the political chaos in France, what to make of it and whether it is unique or reflects a wider phenonemon This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
A sack of rice falls over in Europe
In our latest podcast, our team discusses China's industrial policy, Europe's growing innovation gap and why no industrial policy will fix this. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Is Italy a fiscal rolemodel?
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the fiscal mess in large European countries, and ask the question whether France and Germany can learn from Italy This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Rising deficits, falling productivity, coming to a country near you
In our latest podcast, our team discusses a disturbing common theme in Europe's political economy - a rise in structural fiscal deficit combined with falling productivity growth. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Prime Minister No. 5
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the political and economic consequences of Sébastien Lecornu. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Bayrou's gamble
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the forthcoming vote of confidence in Francois Bayrou's government - and what is at stake for France and Europe. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Can Trump succeed?
In our latest podcast, the team discusses the Ukraine peace diplomacy, with a focus on the security guarantees, land swaps, and how to fund the post-war reconstruction. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Caving in to Trump
In our last podcast before the holidays, our team discusses the European response to Donald Trump's threatened tariffs. The Europeans are all over the place, with the Germans ready to accept any deal, and the French willing to respond with the most extreme policy instruments available to the EU. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus e
What to do about China
In our latest podcast our team discusses the EU's complicated, and deteriorating relationship with China. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Let's all borrow some money
In our latest, long, podcast, our team discusses the consequences of higher government debt in all of the west's large economies. We are not going to grow out of this. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
What will 5% buy?
In our latest, long-form, podcast our team discusses what will defence spending of 5% buy, whether it will make us more secure, and how it will be financed. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Team Iran vs Team Israel
In our latest one-hour podcast, our team discusses global consequences of the Israel-Iran war, and its geopolitical and geoeconomic consequences. In our special section, we have an in-depth discussion about the effect on oil prices, and the limits and extent of solidarity amongst the Brics countries. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bo
Caught in a triangle
This is the start of our new extended two-part podcast. Today's theme are the widely underestimated supply chain interdependencies between China, the US and the EU. In part 1, we give the big picture. In part 2, we deep-five into details - how it affected mechanical engineering, and the defence sectors, amongst others. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers
Why the Far Right is winning
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the persistent political success of far-right parties in Europe, and about the dilemma the centrists have put themselves in. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Let Battle Commence
In our latest podcast, our team discusses what to expect to happen in the remaining six weeks of the US-EU trade talks. The discussion took place just before Wednesday's ruling by the New York federal trade court, which struck down Donald Trump's global tariffs. In our view, the ruling, even if confirmed by higher courts, will not affect the US/EU trading relationship in a material way. This is a
Centre vs Far-Right - the new divide
in our latest podcast, our team discusses the elections in Romania, Poland and Portugal, and what the strength of the far-right says about the state of Europe. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Why Global Imbalances matter
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the Trump's administration assault on global imbalances, on cooperative and non-cooperative solutions, and what happens if there is none. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
What European leader will Merz be?
In our latest podcast, our team discusses what kind of European leader Friedrich Merz will be. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
What are tariffs for?
In our latest podcast, our team discusses unilateral and multlateral solutions to the global tariff crisis. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Tariffs are firing more than backfiring
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the devastating impact of US tariffs on Europe, and what course Europe will take. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Fight the guy? Really?
In our latest podcast, our team discusses how we should react to Donald Trump's tariffs. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
After the Le Pen ruling
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the Le Pen court case and whether she and her party will get stronger, and more extreme in the process. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Is Nato turning into a protection racket?
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the Mar-a-Lago accord, its economic rationale, and whether it has the potential to turn Nato into a protection racket. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
How to defend Europe
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the future of European defence policy after Germany exempted defence spending from its debt rules. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
What next?
In this episode our team discusses the German debt brake, European defence and Donald Trump This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
On the return of Germany's perma-coalition
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the German elections, the return of the old coalition, the fate of the Greens, the rise of the Left Party, and why debt brake reform is really difficult. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
When the US is gone
In our latest podcast, our team discussed Europe after the transatlantic relationship. New possibilities are opening up, especially on defence integration. Another moment of truth for Europe. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
What should we do about Trump?
In our latest podcast our team discusses good and bad ways to respond to Trump. Should we perhaps not respond at all? This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Merz' Pyrrhic victory
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the state of Germany three weeks before the elections, with immigration the number one theme, and the AfD the party that will benefit from it. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
What will he do to us?
In our latest podcast, our team discusses what we know - and more importantly what we don't know - about Donald Trump's economic policies and its impact on Europe. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Bayrou, a blast from the past
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the survival chances of Francois Bayrou, France's latest prime minister. Like his predecessor, his future depends on Marine Le Pen. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Trump, Musk and us
Happy New Year! In this episode we talk about Donald Trump's interest in Greenland and how the US tech sector dictates the terms of digital services in the EU This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
France and Germany - united in decline
In our last podcast of the year, our team discusses the political and economic malaise of France and Germany, and what they have in common. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Syria and us
In our latest podcast, our teams discusses the geopolitics after Assad's fall. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Now what?
In this episode our team discusses the motivations for the censure motion against Michel Barnier and scenarios of an institutional lockdown This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Was the Green Deal a mistake?
In our latest podcast, our team discusses the past and future of the Green deal, whether it is politically sustainable, and whether it can deliver on its targets. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
What to expect from Trump
In our latest podcast, our team discusses what Europeans should be expecting from Donald Trump, and especially what his approach to Ukraine will be. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
No, the EU is not prepared
In our latest podcast, our team discusses Europe's shocking lack of preparedness for Donald Trump. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Europe's pathetic dependencies
in our latest podcast, our team discusses Europe's dependence on the US, not only for defence but also trade. The problem is that this puts us at the mercy of US voters. It is the dependency itself that is the problem - not on whom you are dependent. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/s
The tragedy of ASML
In our latest podcast, our team discusses how ASML became a victim of Europe's industrial policy, and Europe's geopolitical dependence on the US. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Germany vs the EU
In our latest podcast, our team discusses Germany's futile attempt to block EU car tariffs against Chinese manufacturers, and this says about the state of the union. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Squeezed between the extremes
In our latest podcast, our team discusses how the political centre gets squeezed in France, the Netherlands and Germany, and good and bad ways for centre parties to deal with the far-right. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
Politics of fear
In our latest podcast our team discusses the politics of fear in Europe - with a focus on immigration and the de-industrialisation. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit eurointelligence.substack.com/subscribe
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